Capability Analysis
Semiconductor Etch Process Capability Mathematics
1. Fundamental Capability Indices
1.1 Basic Statistical Measures
- Sample Mean ($\bar{x}$):
$$ \bar{x} = \frac{1}{n}\sum_{i=1}^{n} x_i $$
- Sample Standard Deviation ($s$):
$$ s = \sqrt{\frac{1}{n-1}\sum_{i=1}^{n}(x_i - \bar{x})^2} $$
1.2 Process Capability (Cp)
The potential capability measures the process spread relative to specification width:
$$ C_p = \frac{USL - LSL}{6\sigma} $$
Where:
- $USL$ = Upper Specification Limit
- $LSL$ = Lower Specification Limit
- $\sigma$ = Process standard deviation
Interpretation:
- $C_p = 1.0$ means the process $\pm 3\sigma$ exactly fills the spec window
- Higher $C_p$ indicates greater potential capability
1.3 Process Capability Index (Cpk)
The actual capability accounts for process centering:
$$ C_{pk} = \min\left(\frac{USL - \mu}{3\sigma}, \frac{\mu - LSL}{3\sigma} ight) $$
Key relationship:
- $C_{pk} \leq C_p$ (always)
- $C_{pk} = C_p$ only when process is perfectly centered
1.4 Taguchi Capability Index (Cpm)
Penalizes deviation from target $T$, not merely being within spec:
$$ C_{pm} = \frac{USL - LSL}{6\sqrt{\sigma^2 + (\mu - T)^2}} $$
1.5 Combined Index (Cpkm)
$$ C_{pkm} = \frac{C_{pk}}{\sqrt{1 + \left(\frac{\mu - T}{\sigma} ight)^2}} $$
1.6 Industry Targets for Semiconductor Etch
| Cpk Value | Sigma Level | Defect Rate | Typical Application |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | 3σ | 2,700 ppm | Minimum acceptable |
| 1.33 | 4σ | 63 ppm | Standard processes |
| 1.67 | 5σ | 0.57 ppm | Critical dimensions |
| 2.00 | 6σ | 0.002 ppm | Advanced nodes |
2. Etch-Specific Uniformity Mathematics
2.1 Within-Wafer Uniformity (WIW)
- Range-based method:
$$ \%U_{WIW} = \frac{X_{max} - X_{min}}{2 \cdot \bar{X}} imes 100\% $$
- Standard deviation-based method (preferred):
$$ \%U_{1\sigma} = \frac{s}{\bar{X}} imes 100\% $$
- Typical target: $<1\%$ $(1\sigma)$ uniformity for etch rate
2.2 Wafer-to-Wafer Uniformity (WtW)
$$ \%U_{WtW} = \frac{s_{ ext{wafer means}}}{\bar{X}_{ ext{overall}}} imes 100\% $$
2.3 Total Variance Decomposition
Via nested ANOVA:
$$ \sigma^2_{ ext{total}} = \sigma^2_{WIW} + \sigma^2_{WtW} + \sigma^2_{LtL} + \sigma^2_{TtT} $$
Where:
- $\sigma^2_{WIW}$ = Within-Wafer variance
- $\sigma^2_{WtW}$ = Wafer-to-Wafer variance
- $\sigma^2_{LtL}$ = Lot-to-Lot variance
- $\sigma^2_{TtT}$ = Tool-to-Tool (chamber-to-chamber) variance
3. Critical Dimension (CD) Control
3.1 CD Uniformity
$$ CD_{ ext{uniformity}} = \frac{CD_{max} - CD_{min}}{CD_{target}} imes 100\% $$
3.2 Etch Bias
$$ ext{Etch Bias} = CD_{ ext{after etch}} - CD_{ ext{after litho}} $$
For anisotropic etch with undercut angle $ heta$:
$$ \Delta CD = 2 \cdot d \cdot an( heta) $$
Where:
- $d$ = etch depth
- $ heta$ = undercut angle
- For ideal anisotropic etch: $ heta = 0 \Rightarrow \Delta CD = 0$
3.3 Iso-Dense Bias (IDB)
$$ IDB = CD_{ ext{isolated}} - CD_{ ext{dense}} $$
Capability for IDB:
$$ C_{pk,IDB} = \min\left(\frac{IDB_{USL} - \overline{IDB}}{3s_{IDB}}, \frac{\overline{IDB} - IDB_{LSL}}{3s_{IDB}} ight) $$
3.4 Line Edge Roughness (LER) / Line Width Roughness (LWR)
- LER Definition:
$$ LER = 3\sigma_{ ext{edge position}} $$
- LWR Definition:
$$ LWR = 3\sigma_{ ext{line width}} $$
- One-sided capability (upper limit only):
$$ C_{pk,LER} = \frac{USL_{LER} - \overline{LER}}{3s_{LER}} $$
4. Selectivity Mathematics
4.1 Basic Selectivity Definition
$$ ext{Selectivity} = \frac{ER_{ ext{target material}}}{ER_{ ext{mask or stop layer}}} $$
4.2 Selectivity Capability (One-Sided)
$$ C_{pk,sel} = \frac{\overline{Sel} - LSL_{Sel}}{3s_{Sel}} $$
Note: Higher selectivity is always better, so this is typically a one-sided specification.
4.3 Common Selectivity Requirements
| Etch Type | Material System | Typical Selectivity |
|---|---|---|
| SAC Etch | Oxide:Nitride | >30:1 |
| Gate Etch | Poly-Si:Oxide | >50:1 |
| Metal Etch | Al:Resist | >5:1 |
| Via Etch | Oxide:TiN | >20:1 |
5. Variance Component Analysis
5.1 Mixed-Effects Model
$$ X_{ijkl} = \mu + W_i + L_j + T_k + S_{l(ijk)} + \epsilon_{ijkl} $$
Where:
- $\mu$ = Grand mean
- $W_i$ = Wafer random effect
- $L_j$ = Lot random effect
- $T_k$ = Tool/chamber random effect
- $S_{l(ijk)}$ = Site (within-wafer) effect
- $\epsilon_{ijkl}$ = Residual measurement error
5.2 Variance Component Estimation
Via REML (Restricted Maximum Likelihood):
$$ \hat{\sigma}^2_{ ext{total}} = \hat{\sigma}^2_W + \hat{\sigma}^2_L + \hat{\sigma}^2_T + \hat{\sigma}^2_S + \hat{\sigma}^2_\epsilon $$
5.3 Percent Contribution
$$ \% ext{Contribution}_i = \frac{\hat{\sigma}^2_i}{\hat{\sigma}^2_{ ext{total}}} imes 100\% $$
6. Response Surface Modeling for Etch
6.1 Second-Order Polynomial Model
$$ ER = \beta_0 + \sum_{i}\beta_i x_i + \sum_{i}\beta_{ii}x_i^2 + \sum_{i<j}\beta_{ij}x_i x_j + \epsilon $$
Where $x_i$ represents process parameters:
- $P$ = RF Power
- $p$ = Chamber pressure
- $F$ = Gas flow rate
- $T$ = Temperature
6.2 Process Window Definition
$$ \mathcal{W} = \bigcap_{i=1}^{n} \{(P, p, F, T) : LSL_i \leq Y_i \leq USL_i\} $$
6.3 Desirability Function
Overall desirability:
$$ D = \left(\prod_{i=1}^{n} d_i^{w_i} ight)^{1/\sum w_i} $$
Individual desirability functions:
- Target is best:
$$ d = \exp\left(-\left|\frac{y-T}{s} ight|^r ight) $$
- Larger is better:
$$ d = \left(\frac{y - L}{T - L} ight)^r \quad ext{for } L < y < T $$
- Smaller is better:
$$ d = \left(\frac{U - y}{U - T} ight)^r \quad ext{for } T < y < U $$
7. Loading Effect Models
7.1 Macro-Loading
As exposed area $A$ increases, etch rate decreases:
$$ ER(A) = ER_0 \cdot \frac{1}{1 + kA} $$
7.2 Micro-Loading (ARDE)
Aspect Ratio Dependent Etching:
$$ \frac{ER_{ ext{trench}}}{ER_{ ext{open}}} = f(AR) = f\left(\frac{ ext{depth}}{ ext{width}} ight) $$
Knudsen diffusion model:
$$ ER \propto \frac{1}{1 + \alpha \cdot AR} $$
7.3 RIE Lag Correction
For high aspect ratio features $(AR > 20:1)$:
$$ ER_{ ext{corrected}} = ER_{ ext{open}} \cdot \exp\left(-\beta \cdot AR^{\gamma} ight) $$
8. Statistical Process Control Mathematics
8.1 X-bar Chart Control Limits
$$ UCL_{\bar{x}} = \bar{\bar{x}} + A_2 \bar{R} $$
$$ LCL_{\bar{x}} = \bar{\bar{x}} - A_2 \bar{R} $$
8.2 R Chart Control Limits
$$ UCL_R = D_4 \bar{R} $$
$$ LCL_R = D_3 \bar{R} $$
Control chart constants (selected values):
| n | $A_2$ | $D_3$ | $D_4$ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.880 | 0 | 3.267 |
| 3 | 1.023 | 0 | 2.575 |
| 4 | 0.729 | 0 | 2.282 |
| 5 | 0.577 | 0 | 2.115 |
8.3 EWMA (Exponentially Weighted Moving Average)
Recursive formula:
$$ EWMA_t = \lambda x_t + (1-\lambda)EWMA_{t-1} $$
Control limits:
$$ UCL = \mu_0 + L\sigma\sqrt{\frac{\lambda}{2-\lambda}\left[1-(1-\lambda)^{2t} ight]} $$
$$ LCL = \mu_0 - L\sigma\sqrt{\frac{\lambda}{2-\lambda}\left[1-(1-\lambda)^{2t} ight]} $$
Typical parameters:
- $\lambda = 0.2$
- $L = 3$
8.4 CUSUM (Cumulative Sum)
Upper CUSUM:
$$ C^+_t = \max[0, x_t - (\mu_0 + K) + C^+_{t-1}] $$
Lower CUSUM:
$$ C^-_t = \max[0, (\mu_0 - K) - x_t + C^-_{t-1}] $$
Where:
- $K = \frac{\delta \sigma}{2}$ (reference value)
- $H = h\sigma$ (decision interval)
9. Endpoint Detection Mathematics
9.1 Interferometric Endpoint
$$ d = \frac{N \lambda}{2n \cos heta} $$
Where:
- $N$ = Number of interference fringes counted
- $\lambda$ = Wavelength of light
- $n$ = Refractive index of material
- $ heta$ = Angle of incidence
9.2 Optical Emission Spectroscopy (OES)
Endpoint trigger condition:
$$ \left|\frac{dI(\lambda, t)}{dt} ight| > ext{threshold} $$
Normalized derivative:
$$ \frac{d}{dt}\left[\frac{I(\lambda, t)}{I_{ref}} ight] > ext{threshold} $$
9.3 Multi-Wavelength PCA Endpoint
Principal component score:
$$ PC_1(t) = \sum_{i=1}^{p} w_i \cdot I_i(t) $$
Where $w_i$ are PCA loadings for wavelength $i$.
10. Measurement System Analysis (Gauge R&R)
10.1 Variance Decomposition
Total observed variance:
$$ \sigma^2_{ ext{observed}} = \sigma^2_{ ext{part}} + \sigma^2_{ ext{measurement}} $$
Measurement variance:
$$ \sigma^2_{ ext{measurement}} = \sigma^2_{ ext{repeatability}} + \sigma^2_{ ext{reproducibility}} $$
10.2 Percent GRR Calculations
To total variation:
$$ \%GRR_{ ext{TV}} = \frac{\sigma_{ ext{GRR}}}{\sigma_{ ext{total}}} imes 100\% $$
To tolerance:
$$ \%GRR_{ ext{Tol}} = \frac{6\sigma_{ ext{GRR}}}{USL - LSL} imes 100\% $$
10.3 GRR Assessment Criteria
| %GRR | Assessment | Action |
|---|---|---|
| <10% | Excellent | Acceptable |
| 10-30% | Marginal | May be acceptable |
| >30% | Unacceptable | Improve measurement system |
10.4 Number of Distinct Categories (ndc)
$$ ndc = 1.41 \cdot \frac{\sigma_{ ext{part}}}{\sigma_{ ext{GRR}}} $$
Requirement: $ndc \geq 5$
11. Confidence Intervals for Capability
11.1 Confidence Interval for Cp
Chi-square based:
$$ P\left(\hat{C}_p \sqrt{\frac{\chi^2_{n-1, 1-\alpha/2}}{n-1}} \leq C_p \leq \hat{C}_p \sqrt{\frac{\chi^2_{n-1, \alpha/2}}{n-1}} ight) = 1-\alpha $$
Approximate form:
$$ \hat{C}_p \pm z_{\alpha/2}\sqrt{\frac{C_p^2}{2(n-1)}} $$
11.2 Lower Confidence Bound for Cpk
$$ LCL_{C_{pk}} = \hat{C}_{pk} - z_{\alpha}\sqrt{\frac{1}{9n\hat{C}_{pk}^2} + \frac{1}{2(n-1)}} $$
11.3 Sample Size Guidelines
Rule of thumb for Cpk studies:
- Minimum: $n \geq 50$ data points
- Recommended: $n \geq 100$ data points
- For high confidence: $n \geq 200$ data points
12. Non-Normal Data Handling
12.1 Box-Cox Transformation
$$ y^{(\lambda)} = \begin{cases} \dfrac{y^\lambda - 1}{\lambda} & ext{if } \lambda eq 0 \\[10pt] \ln(y) & ext{if } \lambda = 0 \end{cases} $$
Common transformations:
- $\lambda = 0.5$: Square root
- $\lambda = 0$: Natural log
- $\lambda = -1$: Inverse
12.2 Percentile-Based Capability
$$ C_p = \frac{USL - LSL}{X_{99.865\%} - X_{0.135\%}} $$
$$ C_{pk} = \min\left(\frac{USL - X_{50\%}}{X_{99.865\%} - X_{50\%}}, \frac{X_{50\%} - LSL}{X_{50\%} - X_{0.135\%}} ight) $$
12.3 Johnson Transformation System
Three distribution families:
- $S_B$ (bounded):
$$ z = \gamma + \delta \ln\left(\frac{x - \xi}{\lambda + \xi - x} ight) $$
- $S_L$ (lognormal):
$$ z = \gamma + \delta \ln(x - \xi) $$
- $S_U$ (unbounded):
$$ z = \gamma + \delta \sinh^{-1}\left(\frac{x - \xi}{\lambda} ight) $$
13. Multivariate Capability
13.1 Multivariate Capability Index (MCp)
$$ MC_p = \frac{ ext{Vol}( ext{specification region})}{ ext{Vol}( ext{process region})} $$
13.2 Principal Component Approach
For correlated outputs, transform to uncorrelated PCs:
$$ \mathbf{z} = \mathbf{P}^T(\mathbf{x} - \boldsymbol{\mu}) $$
Where $\mathbf{P}$ is the matrix of eigenvectors.
Capability on each PC:
$$ C_{pk,i} = \frac{\min(|USL_{z_i}|, |LSL_{z_i}|)}{3\sqrt{\lambda_i}} $$
Where $\lambda_i$ is the eigenvalue (variance) of PC $i$.
13.3 Hotelling's T² Statistic
$$ T^2 = n(\bar{\mathbf{x}} - \boldsymbol{\mu}_0)^T \mathbf{S}^{-1} (\bar{\mathbf{x}} - \boldsymbol{\mu}_0) $$
Control limit:
$$ UCL = \frac{p(n-1)(n+1)}{n(n-p)} F_{\alpha, p, n-p} $$
14. Practical Example: Gate Etch Capability Study
14.1 Process Specifications
| Parameter | Target | LSL | USL | Unit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD | 45 | 42 | 48 | nm |
| Etch Depth | 200 | 190 | 210 | nm |
| Selectivity | >20:1 | 20 | - | ratio |
| LWR | <4 | - | 4 | nm |
14.2 Data Collection
- Wafers: 25 wafers
- Sites per wafer: 49 sites
- Total measurements: $25 imes 49 = 1,225$
14.3 Results Summary
| Parameter | Mean | σ | Cpk | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD | 44.8 nm | 0.9 nm | 1.03 | ❌ Below target |
| Depth | 199 nm | 2.5 nm | 1.33 | ✓ Acceptable |
| LWR | 3.2 nm | 0.4 nm | 0.67 | ❌ Major issue |
14.4 Cpk Calculations
CD Cpk:
$$ C_{pk,CD} = \min\left(\frac{48-44.8}{3 imes 0.9}, \frac{44.8-42}{3 imes 0.9} ight) = \min(1.19, 1.04) = 1.04 $$
Depth Cpk:
$$ C_{pk,Depth} = \min\left(\frac{210-199}{3 imes 2.5}, \frac{199-190}{3 imes 2.5} ight) = \min(1.47, 1.20) = 1.20 $$
LWR Cpk (one-sided):
$$ C_{pk,LWR} = \frac{4 - 3.2}{3 imes 0.4} = \frac{0.8}{1.2} = 0.67 $$
14.5 Variance Decomposition for CD
| Source | Variance (nm²) | % Contribution |
|---|---|---|
| Within-Wafer | 0.53 | 65% |
| Wafer-to-Wafer | 0.16 | 20% |
| Measurement | 0.12 | 15% |
| Total | 0.81 | 100% |
Conclusions:
- Chamber uniformity issue (WIW dominant)
- Consider improving CD-SEM recipe to reduce measurement variance
Key Mathematical Tools
| Application | Key Mathematics |
|---|---|
| Basic capability | $C_p$, $C_{pk}$, $C_{pm}$ |
| Uniformity | $1\sigma\%$, range-based $\%$ |
| Variance sourcing | Nested ANOVA, variance components |
| Process optimization | RSM, desirability functions |
| Drift detection | EWMA, CUSUM charts |
| Measurement quality | Gauge R&R, $\%GRR$, $ndc$ |
| Non-normal data | Box-Cox, percentile methods |
| Loading effects | ARDE models, Knudsen transport |
| Multi-response | Multivariate $C_p$, Hotelling's $T^2$ |
Quick Reference: Essential Formulas