Trajectory Prediction is the task of forecasting the future path of moving agents based on their past positions — essentially predicting where a pedestrian, car, or robot will be in the next few seconds to enable safe planning.
What Is Trajectory Prediction?
- Input: Past coordinates $(x, y)$ for frames $t-N$ to $t$.
- Output: Future coordinates for frames $t+1$ to $t+M$.
- Difficulty: The future is multimodal (a person could turn left OR right). Models must often predict a distribution of possible futures.
Why It Matters
- Self-Driving Cars: "Will that pedestrian cross the street in front of me?"
- Social Navigation: Robots moving through crowds without bumping into people.
- Sports: Predicting where a player is running to pass the ball.
Methods
- Social Forces: Modeling interactions (people repel each other like magnets).
- Social LSTM / Social GAN: RNNs that share hidden states to model group dynamics.
- Transformer: Attention mechanisms to model long-range temporal dependencies.
Trajectory Prediction is AI foresight — allowing autonomous systems to act proactively rather than just reacting to the present moment.
trajectory predictioncomputer vision
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